Central PA kiwi here. I’m seeing a lot of you piss and moan about us electing “a retard.” Let me remind you racist fascist filth that REPRESENTATION MATTERS!
But, seriously, let me offer my analysis on the subject - I’ll focus on the Fetterman/Oz race since that’s the interesting one.
First off, before you ask, I voted 3rd party, so I was going to lose no matter what, making me (perhaps) a more neutral observer here.
PA is a weird state. Electorally, we’re a “purple” state, and culturally, we’ve been described as “Philly and Pittsburgh with Kentucky in-between” and I don’t think that’s right, exactly - we’re not nearly as Jesusy as the South is - there are some parallels. Historically, the state’s interior has been focused on resource extraction (lumber, coal, nowadays fracking has become huge) and manufacturing (Pittsburgh + a huge number of mill towns along our waterways.) In much of the state, the first day of deer season is an unofficial holiday - we’re big on hunting and fishing here.
Historically, the democrats had a tight partnership with unions. That hasn’t been true for the better part of 50 years, but there are a lot of boomer democrats here who are loyal democrats pretty much out of inertia - they recall the good-paying jobs the union-staffed mills used to provide, and still see the democrats as the party of the working man. Later Gen X and younger folks don’t have that association, even if they happen to work in a unionized plant. They lean republican for cultural reasons, or that they believe that “lower taxes” are somehow going to trickle down to them.
The ugly reality is, of course, that neither party has any idea what the hell to do about America’s mothballed manufacturing base, and fracking is, particularly for democrats who purport to care about the environment, a devil’s bargain - high paying jobs at the cost of substantial environmental damage. “Climate change” is pretty abstract, but, “the fish are all dead/can’t be safely eaten” is very real to guys who are out fishing every weekend!
Fetterman has been a fixture in the western part of the state for a good 15 years. He’s very consciously tried to position himself as an old school, mill-town, union Democrat, of a sort which seems functionally almost extinct in the modern Democratic party. There’s a lot of critique of Fetterman that this is mostly a pose; i.e. that he hasn’t worked mill jobs, went to Harvard, etc, instead of coming up “organically,” which does carry some weight. Still, the image of a hoodie-wearing blue collar everyman was enough to endear him to the PA Democratic party, so even in light of his stroke just before the Democratic primary.
Now, Oz is a truly bizarre choice for PA; I’m surprised that even with Trump’s help he was able to win the nomination. Fetterman’s campaign was able to make a lot of hay by repeatedly pointing out that Oz doesn’t even live here; he’s from across the bridge in New Jersey. I’ve lived a couple of places where residents on one state make jokes about residents of another: in New England everyone shits on Massholes, Virginians sneer at those sister-fuckers in West Virginia, and here in PA we mock people from New Jersey, so this plays in very well to existing tropes. Also worth thinking about is that in the modern Democratic party it would be extremely déclassé to go after Oz for being Turkish or a Muslim, but going after him for being from New Jersey allows democrats to launder their loathing of “the foreigner” in a way that has at least a veneer of respectability.
Fetterman’s team was playing it cagey in keeping him out of the spotlight, but refusing to debate Oz at all raised too many questions about Fetterman’s health status, so he agreed to a debate in late October. It didn’t go particularly well for Fetterman; he was never that articulate a speaker (which may be intentional on his part) but seemed to be struggling with some degree of speech aphasia, to the point his polling dropped noticeably in the wake of the debate.
On Tuesday, PA residents had a rough choice: a blue-collar wannabe with some degree of brain damage, or an “out of state” guy who was best known for hawking snake oil with Oprah? A lot of pundits want to claim that Democrats were able to stop the red wave because young people came out, but I kind of suspect the old boomer democrats were the folks who really saved Fetterman, albeit for reasons that are based more on nostalgia than clear thinking.
(For the curious: Mastriano lost because he’s a tubby, unlikable wop whose entire platform was, “No abortions and gay marriage,” which are issues that PA folks are simply not *that* fired up about.)