US US Politics General - Discussion of President Biden and other politicians

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HTTP Error 404 said:
Is it? I know he was basically buying DA seats for $100-750k each, and look how much value he got out of that.
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The cat's out of the bag on that scheme. He could spend a million dollars on ads now and all the opposition would have to say is "another Soros-backed DA wants to legalize crime in your city," and people will spread that like wildfire all over social media for free.
 
HTTP Error 404 said:
Is it? I know he was basically buying DA seats for $100-750k each, and look how much value he got out of that.
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That's just it, that was a focused investment that returns an outsized worth. Something to keep in mind, a rough math is that for every dollar you spend on a PAC, you will at -best- receive ten cents worth of value. Oftentimes even less. So, normally Soros does the smart thing, identifies a handful of key places he can put his money, then sends the leftover amounts to the Super PAC in question. In cases where he hasn't identified many, or any, specific investments he sends the whole sum into the PAC, usually about 500 million total.


He hasn't done any focused investments.
The amount is -well- below that 500 million amount he normally invests.

This is pretty stark evidence that my running hypothesis is very correct. They have -no- money.
 
I am so looking forward to his state of the union speech.
What does he have to brag about? everything turned to shit, even his latest doomspeeching about russian invasion.
So that even ukraine, and europe even completely ignore him and negotiate with russia, successfully, without even keeping him in the loop.

Only thing I can think of is "I nominated a black woman to the supreme court". I mean if she is qualified, why not?
But, can you really spin a 90 minute speech about that?

I can imagine his speechwriters right now. "What do we write about except a black chick to the supreme court? nothing, there is nothing else"
and Bidens handler just telling them "just pad it out, It has to be 90 minutes or you lot are all fired".
 
He'll talk about Afghanistan and how he ended the war, talk about reopening America made jobs and is back to work, talk about the vaccine rollout.
 
The Pennsylvania court knocking down mail-in voting sounds good, but then there's this.

The two Democrats on the panel dissented. The state Supreme Court — which will hear the appeal — has a 5-2 Democratic majority.
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So it's likely just going to revert to the Dem position, especially with a Dem governor backing it.
 
Trianon said:
The Pennsylvania court knocking down mail-in voting sounds good, but then there's this.



So it's likely just going to revert to the Dem position, especially with a Dem governor backing it.
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The fact that they are likely to just say that their constitution doesn't matter is kind of scary. Is there even any recourse to a state refusing to uphold its own constitution? Can the police arrest the Pennsylvania SC saying it's their sworn duty to uphold the constitution? Is that a shots fired scenario?
 
Gehenna said:
This is pretty stark evidence that my running hypothesis is very correct. They have -no- money.
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Are you referring to your often statement that the rich in reality have very little liquid cash, and would have to sell their income producing assets in order to fund shit?

So this is what happens when the bought politicians are not able to enrich their donners.
 
pwnest injun said:
The fact that they are likely to just say that their constitution doesn't matter is kind of scary. Is there even any recourse to a state refusing to uphold its own constitution? Can the police arrest the Pennsylvania SC saying it's their sworn duty to uphold the constitution? Is that a shots fired scenario?
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The remedy built into the system is for the state legislature to impeach the judges, or for the voters to vote them out when their term comes due (10 year terms in the PA Supreme Court).
 
ditto said:
The mega rich borrow against their assets and so never have to sell.
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The super-rich do not borrow against their assets for everything, that'd be... very stupid. That is how they do short-term funding where their other assets which generate them money can overcome it eventually.

It effectively borrows against a physical asset so they can repay it later with their passive monetary streams.

The problem here is that that reached a limit with the sheer spending spree of 2020, and the passive streams haven't caught up.
 
Gehenna said:
The super-rich do not borrow against their assets for everything, that'd be... very stupid. That is how they do short-term funding where their other assets which generate them money can overcome it eventually.

It effectively borrows against a physical asset so they can repay it later with their passive monetary streams.

The problem here is that that reached a limit with the sheer spending spree of 2020, and the passive streams haven't caught up.
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Are we still talking about Soros? If so, come on, we know it and he knows it he has many more billions ready to spend than he has life left in him.

A much simpler explanation if he donated unusually little is that he decided that it is a completely lost enterprise this election and any money spent will be
just wasted with no return. So he just donates the minimum he can without offending the donee.
He is a good businessman and he knows a bad investment when he sees it.
 
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Gehenna said:
He hasn't done any focused investments.
The amount is -well- below that 500 million amount he normally invests.

This is pretty stark evidence that my running hypothesis is very correct. They have -no- money.
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Democrats really did manage to find a way to squander and piss off a literal infinite source of revenue, amazing
 
LUNEKO said:
Democrats really did manage to find a way to squander and piss off a literal infinite source of revenue, amazing
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He will be back and donate twice as much in 2024. It is just that 2022 is lost and any monies spent are wasted.
When even Soros decides, "nah, I am gonna sit this one out", that tells you everything you need to know about the election and
sorry but that is how it is. Sorry @Gehenna but Soros has already called it. No need for analysts or polls anymore.
(I am just joking @Gehenna but still, even Soros backing off this early speaks words, loudly)

Soros is not pissed off. He just analyzed the situation and decided any money spent is a waste. So only spend the minimum
not to offend the DNC too much.
He will spend again once spending is meaningful and can drive his agenda.
 
deeplyhigh said:
Never get certs unless an employer pays for them. I have zero A+ certs and make six figures now. Skilled IT people with career sense get out of the helpdesk and into something like implementations of enterprise software. Less headaches from end users, more respect, more money.
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The only comptia worth a piss is sec+ or casp. They put you at different IAT levels in the military if you couple it with Cisco or a Microsoft certs. Find a contractor to sponsor your clearance and you can make six figures straight out of high school with just a couple 200 buck certs and some drive.
 
Oxous said:
Some nasty looking NV polling... Poll was done by Data For Progress, a self-described "progressive think tank". They didn't share this poll on their Twitter so clearly they don't want people to see these results:
View attachment 2929564View attachment 2929565
This poll looked exclusively at 18-36 year olds, so their findings won't directly translate to how Nevadan elections will go in November. It found that 62% of all those surveyed were as or more enthusiastic about voting in 2022 as they were in 2020. If you look solely at the young adults who are more enthusiastic about voting this year, 45% of Republicans are more enthusiastic compared to 26%, a 19% margin in favor of the young Republicans.

For all young adults surveyed:
Overall, out of all young adults surveyed the Republicans are -9% in favorability while the Democrats are -19%. 25-36 year olds have -17% favorability for Republicans and -21% favorability for Democrats. 18-24 year olds favor the Republicans by 2% while the Democrats have -16% favorability.

For registered young adults surveyed:
Registered voters don't favor either party. But the Republicans have -10% favorability compared to Democrat's -27% favorability, a 17 point margin.

For unregistered young adults surveyed:
Among unregistered voters, the Democrats had a 5% lead in favorability but were still disfavored by the majority at -5%. Republicans had -10% favorability.
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And here's my self aware thinking as a former poll worker. first off demographics, only whites/asians will answer the survey. the spics for the most part will be too paranoid to answer unless they're Fuentes types. irregardless of that its stil relatively good, but its not the punch people believe it is.

Nevada is a red state outside of the major cities, so the youth would most likely vote GOP. maybe i'm wrong on demographics but IIRC if you just do whites in the 2020 election, obviously Trump sweeps but close than you think.
Gehenna said:
That's just it, that was a focused investment that returns an outsized worth. Something to keep in mind, a rough math is that for every dollar you spend on a PAC, you will at -best- receive ten cents worth of value. Oftentimes even less. So, normally Soros does the smart thing, identifies a handful of key places he can put his money, then sends the leftover amounts to the Super PAC in question. In cases where he hasn't identified many, or any, specific investments he sends the whole sum into the PAC, usually about 500 million total.


He hasn't done any focused investments.
The amount is -well- below that 500 million amount he normally invests.

This is pretty stark evidence that my running hypothesis is very correct. They have -no- money.
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the DNC is always running on broke, people still believe the lie that they didn't campaign in wisconsin because they were 100% sure they'd win. they stopped in most places because they couldn't afford it.

Also can people please stop counting the chickens before they hatch. Remember by this point in 2016, Trump was barely winning, for fucks sake by this point in 2008 Hilary was losing to McCain. And in 2020 Bernie Sanders had a 2:1 lead on the next person. things can change so much in 9 months. People can literally be born.
 
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