US US Politics General - Discussion of President Biden and other politicians

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Gehenna said:
You know how in polling if you have something like 52% for one candidate and 48% for another? And you'd say that is +4 to the 52? Now take that to the original sample, its the difference between the percentage of Democrats and the percentage of Republicans in the initial sample size. Keeping in mind the + is the size of the difference... in percentage points.
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Wow, thank you.
 
Oxous said:
Seems Harris has been given a new busybody "job": helping Biden select a nominee.
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I put "job" in quotation marks because everyone including Harris already knows Breyer's going to be replaced by the former Breyer clerk who is currently a D.C. Circuit judge. Harris will be working very hard though.
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Makes sense. The administration desperately need something resembling a win, and Harris herself needs it even more than ever. So they give her a job that’s really a non-job, so that they can claim she excelled (when she does absolutely nothing related to the task) upon completion.

Out of the cavalcade of options so far, I think that Ketanji Brown Jackson and J. Michelle Childs are the less shitty ones. I continue to hold out hope that the administration will still fuck this up (the resulting entertainment would be glorious) for three reasons:
-The administration’s poor track record thus far.
-Harris’ own involvement.
-They are approaching this from an angle where D I V E R S I T Y is what’s important, not qualification. Given that Kamala Harris was chosen via the same reasoning, and that she’s been nothing but an unmitigated failure and danger to the dems as a whole, their repetition of tactics that have been shown not to work could be devastating if they put up a token autist whose idiotic wokeness is un-ignorable.

And who doesn’t want to see and hear the democrats pathetically begging people for votes after fucking up a critically important (for them) SCOTUS appointment? They’d be more useless than Anne Frank’s drum set.
 
I'm personally holding out hope they chose a liberal-in-name only and get one who might actually dissent with the liberal faction on occasion.
 
Oxous said:
Seems Harris has been given a new busybody "job": helping Biden select a nominee.
View attachment 2929118
I put "job" in quotation marks because everyone including Harris already knows Breyer's going to be replaced by the former Breyer clerk who is currently a D.C. Circuit judge. Harris will be working very hard though.

I know, but it's hilarious.
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They've literally been grooming Jackson for the job for the last 16 years, but they're going to fuck around and put up some awful hate whitey idiot to raise racial tensions even more before they go ahead and pick Jackson. Or.... what if Harris tries to put up an Indian woman and they get to argue about whether Indians are black or something. That could be exciting..
 
Kane Lives said:
I'm personally holding out hope they chose a liberal-in-name only and get one who might actually dissent with the liberal faction on occasion.
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Appointing a stealth DINO would be right in line with this administrations performance. They'll find photos halfway through of her with an AR15 at the range, and by then they'll have politik'd too hard to about face on her, and reddit will implode.
 
Baris is going how his polling was so bad for Biden he had to triple check it.

Trump v Biden :42-36 (Trump+6)
Up 2 points from his last poll.

2022 generic: R+7

He is saying that 20% of Democrats are considering voting Trump over him, which happened under Carter during 1980.

Important issues on voters minds:
1. Inflation / cost of living
2. Economy
3. COVID (distant third)
4. Immigration ( about to take 3rd place)

"The worst numbers I have ever seen for an incumbant president."
 
GuntPunt said:
Baris is going how his polling was so bad for Biden he had to triple check it.

Trump v Biden :42-36 (Trump+6)
Up 2 points from his last poll.

2022 generic: R+7

He is saying that 20% of Democrats are considering voting Trump over him, which happened under Carter during 1980.

Important issues on voters minds:
1. Inflation / cost of living
2. Economy
3. COVID (distant third)
4. Immigration ( about to take 3rd place)

"The worst numbers I have ever seen for an incumbant president."
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"You have to be fudging the numbers if your polling has Joe Biden beating Donald Trump."
 
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