Iran Crisis & the 2026 War between Iran and the United States, Gulf States, and Israel - Please focus on news and coverage, not argumentation.

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bookers said:
people theorizing tucker carlson was unwittingly used to deceive iranian leadership before the strike.
would be highly amusing if true - probably not true or at least partially false, but funny to think about either way

https://x.com/DanTalks1/status/2028023191483126229?s=20 https://x.com/DanTalks1/status/2033005226178105813?s=20
How the US and Israel deceived Iranian leadership and China
The strike that killed Khamenei and 40 of the top Iranian leadership at his Palace all at once came together through an extensive deception operation between the US and Israel against Iran and China.
The deception operation on how they conducted the strikes got released, and its an amazing display of military, strategy and intelligence.

Firstly they understood that China was observing and sending satellite info to Iranian leadership, monitoring American and Israeli airforce bases. Tracking what is there and what is being used, and most importantly what is grounded.

Images like this, where they are tracking everything on the ground.
Knowing that this was occurring, Israel and the US positioned their F22's on one of the main airforce bases in Israel. They kept them grounded there. The reason for this is the F22 is the US's premiere air superiority fighter, and the crown jewel of the US air force. They stationed 11 fighters in Israel and kept them grounded.

They then did 3 distinct deceptions:
Strikes in Lebanon as a distraction with another AFB, so as they were doing operations, it didn't look like anything out of the ordinary was happening as sorties were occurring. So when China was looking on the Satellite, it looked like all the important strike assets for Iran were grounded, so there were no "tells" that anything was occurring. Just a build up by the optics.

They emptied the Israeli military high command carpark "Kiriya", they then leaked to the media that the entire high command had left for the weekend. What this did is when this got announced, they could then "cross reference" with the Satellites, see the carpark empty and assume that it was the case. No high command in Israel, they are all at home. No strikes will occur while the high command is at home. - By doing this regularly, pattern of life allowed the deception to occur when it was needed.

This combined with the US telling them via their "spies" that strikes were not occurring in the immediate got relayed to the Iranian leadership through their own network as to ensure confidence, coming straight from Trump.

When this got combined, the Iranian leadership felt completely safe and convinced nothing was going to occur in the immediate future kinetically Due to the Chinese satellite over watch showing nothing was occurring as confirmation. So their leadership felt safe to congregate their entire high command at Khamenei's palace. When intelligence signaled that everyone was there, strikes got green lit to go.

It was scheduled for later in the day according to reports, but they couldn't ignore the chance and went in the morning when the strikes occurred.

Another western military masterclass from the US and Israel, operating a deception operation that outclassed Iran and China.

part 2: tucker

I know you think you are smart, but everyone knew you were a foreign asset and you were used as a counter-intelligence asset (as I described in my article on the war, Tucker was the Iranian spy). You got used as a counter-intel asset to convince them nothing was happening.

You got used to kill the Iranian leadership. You personally were one of the key reasons they believed nothing was happening. Which gave them the confidence to convene a meeting with their entire high command. You did your job well, being a traitor.

Imagine thinking that you'd get a prime time slot with the president on the eve of a war, after repeatedly humiliating him and him calling you a retard multiple times publicly. You are as arrogant as you are stupid.

But now your usefulness has ended, and its time to go. Good luck my guy, you are going to need it. Thanks for helping us kill all your friends tho, you did great work.
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tldr - trump had tucker at the white house and likely said they weren't going to hit iran right away.
israel was posturing like they were just doing routine strikes in lebanon
tucker relayed information to others (read:iran) that america/israel wasnt likely to hit iran in the near term
this was backed up by satellite intelligence sent to iran by the chinese (they thought israel buildups were just for lebanon/were routine)
this made iran leadership comfortable enough to continue gathering together in person
at which point they were all bombed to shit
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AI interpretation of how it went down:
 
"Hey, I wonder what all those new alerts on my bell are from."
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Oh.
 
I'm seeing similar sentiments elsewhere, where Iran hoped closing the Strait would scare Trump into ending the war in a week from the political pressure, and they're not really sure what to do now that he's made it clear he truly doesn't give a shit if people yell about gas prices for a few weeks.
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Source | Archive
 
ThisIsGonnaBeGood said:
he's made it clear he truly doesn't give a shit if people yell about gas prices for a few weeks.
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I would hope they figure out the political cycle is so fast it makes your head spin. The public has the memory of a gnat unless crises persist for months. And even then, who can tell you happened this time last year and what the issues were? Its a gambit, I hope it pays off if he takes his route.

Israel is already bombing Lebanon into submission again. Irans layered defense was its proxies. Now that middle east has broken up due to Syria collapsing and Hamas and Hezbollah getting fucked earlier, plus side skirmishes on the Syrian boarder. Israel could continue the fight alone if it had to, but not defend the strait. They also would do dumb shit like target Irans oil infrastructure, its better the US keeps them in check and we have greater control of how we want this to shape in our favor.
 
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ThisIsGonnaBeGood said:
I'm seeing similar sentiments elsewhere, where Iran hoped closing the Strait would scare Trump into ending the war in a week from the political pressure, and they're not really sure what to do now that he's made it clear he truly doesn't give a shit if people yell about gas prices for a few weeks.
View attachment 8705700
Source | Archive
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Iran planned for a short asymmetric war?
 
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“Entry of dogs and Americans into the Strait of Hormuz is forbidden.” If you don't want your country invaded, just say no. They can't legally invade then.

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The pro-regime Telegram accounts are getting more delusional by the day. "No air superiority!" I've posted several videos of our aircraft flying over Iran without a care in the world. Tehran has drones loitering over it every night. The footage released by CENTCOM shows JDAMs being used all the time. I wish MES was still posting.



The IDF says the Israeli Air Force carried out a series of intelligence-guided strikes in the Hamedan area of western Iran earlier today, targeting several headquarters belonging to the IRGC and the Basij.


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Israeli airstrikes struck the Telecom complex and the City Police Command in Hamedan, western Iran.



Margaret Brennan: You're speaking to us via Zoom. The Iranian people don't have open Internet access, but you do. Why?

Iran's FM Abbas Araghchi: Because I'm the voice of Iranians, and I have to defend their right... Internet is closed because of the security reasons, because we are under attack.

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IDF spokesperson Brig. Gen. Effie Defrin to CNN:
The IDF plans to continue its campaign against Iran for at least three more weeks.

We have thousands of targets and are ready to achieve them in coordination with the Americans.

The army does not operate according to a timetable but rather to achieve our goals, which are to weaken the Iranian regime severely.
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Footage shows the IDF using white phosphorus on the town of Khiam in southern Lebanon earlier today. Fun Willy Pete fact of the day: During the Continuation War, Finnish troops would fire 20mm WP rounds at a high arc over advancing Soviet soldiers to set the forest on fire behind them.

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Israel’s government is preparing to raise the legal mobilization ceiling for reservists from 280,000 to as many as 450,000 at the request of the IDF and the defense establishment as part of preparations for a possible ground operation in Lebanon, Kan News reports.



US-Israeli airstrikes struck Malard, Tehran province, this evening.



Air defenses are active across Tehran, Iran, while explosions can be heard.
 
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