Iran Crisis & the 2026 War between Iran and the United States, Gulf States, and Israel - Please focus on news and coverage, not argumentation.

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ThisIsGonnaBeGood said:
Ever since all the way back with Palestine, the only thing more obnoxious than Israel is people who never shut the fuck up about Israel.
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The rhetoric started out as 'Israel is le genocidal' and is now into complete schizophrenic nonsense about netanyahu 6 fingers and how Tel Aviv is akshually destroyed but da jooz own da media so they wont show it or fake Unreal Engine 5 showcase type of shit about Iran's super cool arsenals blah blah. Fucking insane.
 
ThisIsGonnaBeGood said:
Uh, Iransisters... I don't think they were being honest about that whole "We can fight for ten years" thing.
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Source | Archive
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— 9th March, the Anthropophagus has quitted his den

— 10th, the Corsican Ogre has landed at Cape Juan

— 11th, the Tiger has arrived at Gap

— 12th, the Monster slept at Grenoble

— 13th, the Tyrant has passed through Lyons

— 14th, the Usurper is directing his steps towards Dijon, but the brave and loyal Burgundians have risen en masse and surrounded him on all sides

— 18th, Bonaparte is only sixty leagues from the capital; he has been fortunate enough to escape the hands of his pursuers

— 19th, Bonaparte is advancing with rapid steps, but he will never enter Paris

— 20th, Napoleon will, tomorrow, be under our ramparts <---------YOU ARE HERE
 
ThisIsGonnaBeGood said:
t it does make me wonder how America/Israel is going to broadcast the all-clear message to enough people to get large-scale riots going.
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some of it as well can likely be spread through the sparse individuals maintaining external internet service with stuff like starlink (services of the like I'm sure are how we're managing to get any sort of videos out of the region for these last couple weeks) and from there spread by word of mouth and just people seeing folks starting to gather/march in the streets and going out to join them.
 
The entire thing with “the Iranians want to talk!” Is that they basically bullshit and waste time any time talks happen. Most likely @Mr. Racewar1488 or @Catch The Rainbow or whoever know. They did this constantly in the lead up.

They would say they wanted to discuss terms, back out, reschedule, have an unproductive meeting, and then pull the same shit. Every administration has talked about this.

I’m wondering if it’s A) they actually do want to talk B) the chain of command is still fucked and rogue units are fucking things up C) internal division and chaos D) Brown people are the ubermensch and Drumpf is finished.
 

IDF eliminated Iranian regime fighters as they fled from targeted sites.
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(Source)
See this kind of stuff starting to happen now, and the drone strikes on checkpoints and the like, that's the kind of stuff that will start to cause desertions and defections. I've already seen some videos of soldiers at their checkpoints looking entirely spooked and watching the skies like paranoid drug addicts. The soldiers themselves starting to feel like they are being targetted to kill directly instead of just as a secondary affect of blowing up their buildings is what will start to put fear into them of how helpless they are with no air defenses.
 
ThisIsGonnaBeGood said:
CENTCOM: Iranian combat power declines, as U.S. dominance builds over vast swaths of Iran.
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Oh shit. They're taking out their dumb AA guns from the cold war. The third video is their Mersad air defense launcher which is Irans clone of older versions of the MIM-23 Hawk. The fact that they're posting this means theres likely no more TOR M1s or Bavar 373 in the area to target anymore. The threat to USAF and IAF decreases by the day.
iran-jan-22.jpg
 
HodgePodgeRogerDodger said:
The entire thing with “the Iranians want to talk!” Is that they basically bullshit and waste time any time talks happen. Most likely @Mr. Racewar1488 or @Catch The Rainbow or whoever know. They did this constantly in the lead up.

They would say they wanted to discuss terms, back out, reschedule, have an unproductive meeting, and then pull the same shit. Every administration has talked about this.

I’m wondering if it’s A) they actually do want to talk B) the chain of command is still fucked and rogue units are fucking things up C) internal division and chaos D) Brown people are the ubermensch and Drumpf is finished.
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Internal division. Iran especially has suffered internal divisions and polarization going back to the 50s. They are genuinely fucked and can't get their shit together... especially now. Read up on Mohammad Mosaddegh.
 
Myrtle the Turtle said:
Oh shit. They're taking out their dumb AA guns from the cold war. The third video is their Mersad air defense launcher which is Irans clone of older versions of the MIM-23 Hawk. The fact that they're posting this means theres likely no more TOR M1s or Bavar 373 in the area to target anymore. The threat to USAF and IAF decreases by the day.
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The dangerous Sam is the turbine powered ir guided one, the 358
 
Goku 1000000 O said:
Consider this, Patrick Bet David claimed to be in contact with Ahmadinejad shortly after his bombing.

He’s a smaller grifter than Tucker, too. (Or at least comparable)
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PBD might be a world class grifter, but I'll say one thing: he genuinely cares about Iran and I'd say is a proper patriot.

Interestingly enough he's had a change of heart regarding the Shah. Up until recently he was probably the largest voice for Pahlavi due to the size of his audience. Here's him going off against him and saying that Reza Pahlavi is not the guy:

Which is interesting because the previous protests led to a lot of in-fighting between the Pahlavists, the leftists and the other group, forgot which one it is. A lot of people prior to that were saying no to the Shah. Now in the protests there are a lot more monarchy flags, and people are just saying whatever it takes.
 
woc_krava said:
A lot of people prior to that were saying no to the Shah. Now in the protests there are a lot more monarchy flags, and people are just saying whatever it takes.
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It probably helps as well that Pahlavi isn't selling himself as "the monarchy restarts" but just offering to himself be a figure to rally around and transition to a democratically elected leadership. He sells himself as a transitional figure and not a monarch.
 
HodgePodgeRogerDodger said:
The entire thing with “the Iranians want to talk!” Is that they basically bullshit and waste time any time talks happen. Most likely @Mr. Racewar1488 or @Catch The Rainbow or whoever know. They did this constantly in the lead up.
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I think Trump might genuinely be into some new-age law of attraction shit where he thinks "If I say what I want as a fact of reality it will happen" and since he is a billionaire and president it works out most of the time because the world naturally bends to those types, but when it doesn't he looks like a fucking idiot talking out his ass.
 
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Once again we're in a state of emergency. But, bizarrely, states of emergency actually calm my son. Maybe it's because of the surprising synchronization between his internal world and the outside situation.
He's finally not the only one experiencing anxiety and disruption; everyone is anxious and tense and everything is disrupted, so he doesn't have to be the guard at the gate. He can simply let it go and trust us to worry for him.
I've written about this in the past, and I stand behind what I said: Parents of children on the autism spectrum understand states of emergency better than ordinary parents do, because they're simply used to it. They live in constant tension, get constant practice in disrupted plans, constantly face unexpected situations and know more or less how to react to fear and frayed nerves, simply because it happens to them all the time.


Yes, something in my son has calmed over the past week or so. He likes being at home. It's easier for him when he doesn't have to interact with others. I especially remember a time during the first COVID lockdown when I sat down on the bed and cried, and he came up to me and asked, "Mommy, why are you crying?"


"Because it's hard for me that we can't leave the house or meet with anybody, and I miss Grandma and Grandpa," I replied, embarrassed.
He drew close to me and whispered in my ear: "Mommy, you're mixed up. This actually is really fun."


Maybe I really am mixed up – he's calm and I'm having a hard time. I like having an orderly house and a bit of quiet, and not having to pretend that there's a routine or come up with meaning in a situation that's clearly not routine but is unstable, unexpected and in no way dependent on me. It's also clear that I want to have all my loved ones near where I can see them, when at any moment remaining alive is a question mark.

Like parents whose children aren't necessarily autistic, I hate not knowing. I hate not understanding the logic that's guiding events and not being able to adapt to expectations: Get on Zoom! Make healthy food! Play with the kids those stupid activities that everybody sends out on social media groups! Applaud our enormous military capabilities without asking questions!
I also hate being afraid. Everyone around me is comfortably glued to their screens, scarfing down candy and repeatedly dragging themselves to the safe room. But I'm nervous and irksome, cleaning up after the kids and cooking, politely answering all the curious questions from my students and silently cursing all the people posting photos of themselves "enjoying nature near my home," doing calming yoga exercises or taking another loaf of sourdough bread out of the oven.

In my house, there's fighting over the blanket or who stepped on who's foot in the crowded safe room; then there are the shouts for quiet as the youngest never stops humming to himself as a kind of calming technique and the oldest tries to shut him up by kicking or scolding him.

Maybe this is good practice for me – to experience firsthand how my son feels in normal times. It's an exercise in not understanding, in trying hard but not succeeding, in feeling frustrated and nervous and different from what I see around me.

It's an exercise in feeling like a child, for whom someone else makes the decisions without always bothering to explain what's happening and who gets reprimanded for not following the demands. Someone who doesn't always feel what they're supposed to feel and doesn't exactly play by the rules whenever somebody says "Now go play."
I tell myself what I tell my son in moments of crisis – that everything will be okay, that it's a wave that will pass, that everybody makes mistakes sometimes, hurts other people sometimes, makes a mess or a smell sometimes. That we do our best, and together we'll try to improve and round the sharp corners of life.

And that anything that helps is a blessing. Sometimes (many times) it's a hug. Sometimes it's a story or a screen. Sometimes it's medicine or carbs, a shower or sleep. All means are kosher.
Because life really is a complicated business, for everybody. And even if it seems that everybody else is succeeding and only we are stuck in the mud, this is clearly an illusion. Or as Oscar Wilde said, "We are all in the gutter, but some of us are looking at the stars." In my own life, I'm trying.
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AN/ALR56 said:
Can some Arab sperg answer why the Arabs arent retaliating when Iran is non stop bombing and droning their oil refineries and cities?
They aren't even bothering to keep appearances with Israel, because they know they will get intercepted, they keep non stop bombing the Arabs instead and they don't do shit, they don't seem to be even defending themselves anymore, it's baffling
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anything they could do to iran (which is not much) the US is already doing 10 times over
 
Kevin Hassett again reiterates the 4-6 week timeline and that we're well ahead of schedule. He also clarifies that America's oil industry is strong enough that an oil shock can't really hurt us the same way it could in the seventies, regardless of what panicking daytraders try to doom over.
 
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