Iran Crisis & the 2026 War between Iran and the United States, Gulf States, and Israel - Please focus on news and coverage, not argumentation.

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The Iranians swore loyalty to a cardboard cutout of the new Ayatollah. It wasn't even a good cardboard cutout. It was really bad.

So bad that I can't believe they did it.
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This does not project a winning spirit.
Can we get an Ayatollah Enslavement Syndrome thread going?

Genuinely why does everyone put so much faith on the exiled prince? to me he is more of an average guy talking about supporting the Iranian people and how Iran used to have jews until the muzzies came and nothing else on the situation or its potential global relationship.

In a word: Hopium.

To expand a bit more: He is a figure people can unite behind. The islamists removed his father, so bringing back the son is a way to reject the Islamists/Mullahs/IRGC. There are a lot of factions against the government, but they also have lot of disagreements - some muslims just want the IRGC replaced with an org that isn't cartoonishly corrupt, non-muslims want a fully secure state - however by getting everyone to focus on removing the government, you can delay dealing with those issues until the government falls.

If you are skeptical of how competent the Shah will be if put in charge, you are 100% on the money. He's never run a government or even done much of anything productive in his life I can tell. He did some college and pilot training, but in general the only thing he's done with his life is be "Son of the last Shah of Iran".
Even if he was some adroit statesman, the country he will inherit is absolutely fucked. The capital is literally sinking into the ground. The man is 65; even if he was 35 there zero percent chance he unfucks the country in his lifetime let alone as head of state.
The only real silver lining is this: He knows he's incompetent. He seems to be very aware of his status of figurehead and his need to get competent administrators should he end up as Iran's head of state.
 
GUYS GUYS MOJTABA SHOWED UP!
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MOJT.mp4
If true any fucking ounce of neutrality or support Iran had is fucking lost and literally Iran trapped itself in the Persian Gulf
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It's this post. This was the winner. Three day feature. Enjoy!

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Devils advocate here, what evidence do we have that the rebellious part of the population is organized enough to make this work? A few tents being lit on fire and people cheering from their apartment blocks? The people willing to go into the streets were gunned down a couple months ago.

Im not trying to argue and shit up the thread, genuinely interested in evidence.
This is all hearsay, but the messaging I've seen from Iranians who have contacts still in the country is that once the all-clear is given, tens of thousands would be willing to to rise up against the government. I've seen a few optimistic voices say a million people, but I'd call that exaggerated at the moment.
 
Genuinely why does everyone put so much faith on the exiled prince? to me he is more of an average guy talking about supporting the Iranian people and how Iran used to have jews until the muzzies came and nothing else on the situation or its potential global relationship.
The protestors are Iran's version of the BLM/Antifa crowd from summertime 2020 and they've attached to the former monarchy because of stupid shit like Tiktok reels. There is also a bit of rose tinted glasses going on with the older generations who were around before the revolution who have softened their opinion over time because to them they remember the 1960s 1970s as a time when they were young and having fun with friends just like the old heads in Russia/Ukraine/Belarus who look back fondly on the USSR. The Russians have a phrase thrown around commonly akin to "our hearts yearn for the USSR but our brains know otherwise" solely because of that nostalgia for one's youth.

These people are civilians and they are not armed, the moment they start trying to kick off protests again Farouk with the AK-47 is going to start gunning them down on the spot because the IRGC is fully convinced any protest is some form of color revolution instigated by Israel and the US -- and they're right.
 
The Mullahs really seem to have a thing for cardboard cutouts: a few years back, they reenacted Khomeini's return from exile by having two guards escort his cutout out of a plane.
The Islamic Republic of Iran is run by the fucking Looney Tunes.
 
theyre busy with ramadan and doing a martyrversary of brown guy #4521 who died 1500 years ago.
also they're rolling through their waves of TRUE PROMISE 4 by the hour, they were at wave 38 seven hours ago, up to 39 now.
and i guess theyre absolutely dominating because they say so and morale is obligatory or your haram and you must donate your 9 year old daughters to the ayatollah:
they arent allah'ing to akbar hard enough

also some taqiyya about the new elected khameini

also they totally have like 200k missiles in super cool underground cities and can last many years launching shit every day.

I would hate to be any soldier stuck being underground for this dipshits. Every one of their major cities are sinking because of how badly they've fucked up their watersheds. I can only imagine how shit their tunnel system is.
 
This is all hearsay, but the messaging I've seen from Iranians who have contacts still in the country is that once the all-clear is given, tens of thousands would be willing to to rise up against the government. I've seen a few optimistic voices say a million people, but I'd call that exaggerated at the moment.
just one more bomb bro we swear they are about to overthrow the ayatollah
 
This is all hearsay, but the messaging I've seen from Iranians who have contacts still in the country is that once the all-clear is given, tens of thousands would be willing to to rise up against the government. I've seen a few optimistic voices say a million people, but I'd call that exaggerated at the moment.
And the loss of those 35,000 two months ago probably hurt the chances of a rebellion. They moved faster than the US and Israel could act.

Then again, death on that scale could embolden far more to rise up.

Only time will tell.

Oh I said the line, here:
 
Devils advocate here, what evidence do we have that the rebellious part of the population is organized enough to make this work? A few tents being lit on fire and people cheering from their apartment blocks? The people willing to go into the streets were gunned down a couple months ago.

Im not trying to argue and shit up the thread, genuinely interested in evidence.
Protests were already starting back up before the bombs fell - students at campuses, relatives of January's fallen turning their funerals into celebrations-of-life and impromptu demonstrations against the Islamists, etc. And that was well after the Islamists had made it clear they were more than willing to kill thousands or tens of thousands for such defiance. Just check the last couple dozen pages or so of this very thread before the war got going.

Popular anger's still there, the January massacres after all didn't actually resolve the root causes of what pushed people to the streets - it wasn't CIA & Mossad agitator glowniggers or money from the decadent West or affection for the Pahlavi dynasty, it was Iran's economy being complete shit, water running out and the very capital sinking into the ground because of the retardation of the gang of 7th century evolutionary throwbacks in charge. All of those problems are still around, if anything they're getting worse, and there was no sign whatsoever of the Islamists being able to even begin fixing them before the war began. The massacres couldn't even fully repress their sentiment before bombs started raining on the Islamists' various arms of repression, as evidenced by the aforementioned February protests.

And BRICSfags like to babble about how, if Khamenei Jr. is in fact still alive & conscious, he must have a personal vendetta against the West for decimating his family which will motivate him to fight to the end; well how the fuck do they think the loved ones of the 7,000-40,000 January victims (keep in mind that lowest confirmed number is still over 3x the number of people the CCP killed at Tiananmen) feel about the butcher of their friends & relatives?? Of course shit can still go sideways, but I firmly believe it's groundless demoralization & retarded Mullah simping to believe any renewed attempt at regime change from within is doomed to fail when 1) Iranians have already proven their willingness to go into the streets at high risk of death before in huge numbers and 2) they haven't even tried yet this time around because they've been explicitly told to wait for a signal from their chosen figurehead + Trump/Netanyahu.

Anyway, an update to Marco Rubio's wardrobe as he prepares to assume the role of Iran's transitional leader:

rubio-meme3.jpeg
 
These people are civilians and they are not armed, the moment they start trying to kick off protests again Farouk with the AK-47 is going to start gunning them down on the spot because the IRGC is fully convinced any protest is some form of color revolution instigated by Israel and the US -- and they're right.
That's the biggest factor against the success of the coming revolution attempt. The regime and Iranian society see themselves in an existential war. Many of the IRGC soldiers have been under fire and/or seen dead people in the past days. They're desentisized, in survival mode and are expecting violence. During peacetime only the most loyal elements of the IRGC were willing to outright mass murder thousands of protesters. Now the regime may have more people than before who are willing to do whatever it takes to fight down what they see as a foreign coup attempt. We'll know what happens in a few weeks.
 
I love how people are dooming in here when the enemy is literally pledging there lives to a cardboard cutout. Isn't that fucking sacrilege in Islamic beliefs.

> Pledge life to cardboard cut out of supreme leader
> die from dysentery or another muzzie blowing themselves up.
> go to hell for pledging alligence to a cardboard cutout
.
 
Well, we produce something like 25-30k JDAM kits a year, and have between 100,000 and 200,000 MK-80 or BLU-series bombs stockpiled normally.

Considering we dropped like 3500 JDAMs on ISIS during '16-17, we can keep this up for a very long time, if needs be.
That was my point. If its a war of attrition between Supreme Leaders on one side and JDAM's on the other, I know which side I'm picking.
Can not wait to play this out in COD
Shame Metal Gear Solid is dead, because that would be one hell of a fight scene.
It's "STRAIT", you dumb fuck. We've been over this many times before in this thread.
I have gone through the most important posts on the last few pages, but where can I get a 101 on the state of this so far? It's all over the place on this thread.
We are bombing Iran and in response they are attacking anything and everything nearby in seething rage at their impotence towards America. Trump is finished.
He might be technically alive right this minute but when the power blinks at that hospital he’s a goner.
I'm sure they have a backup generator for his life support though, right?

Right?
 
This is all hearsay, but the messaging I've seen from Iranians who have contacts still in the country is that once the all-clear is given, tens of thousands would be willing to to rise up against the government. I've seen a few optimistic voices say a million people, but I'd call that exaggerated at the moment.
Rise up with what you fucking dunce? They're unarmed. Yeah maybe this would make sense if there were plans in motion to start air dropping weapons to them like we did in Libya but unless that's the case why the fuck would they go out and try doing a riot again if they know the government is just gonna mow them down in the street Tiananmen style. This is Q-tier retardation at its finest.
I love how people are dooming in here when the enemy is literally pledging there lives to a cardboard cutout. Isn't that fucking sacrilege in Islamic beliefs.
Not if you're shia, which is why sunnis hate them, because they view the shia reverence of prophets like Ali or religious figures like Khamenei as "shirk" (aka idol worshipping)
 
Devils advocate here, what evidence do we have that the rebellious part of the population is organized enough to make this work? A few tents being lit on fire and people cheering from their apartment blocks? The people willing to go into the streets were gunned down a couple months ago.

Im not trying to argue and shit up the thread, genuinely interested in evidence.
This is all hearsay, but the messaging I've seen from Iranians who have contacts still in the country is that once the all-clear is given, tens of thousands would be willing to to rise up against the government. I've seen a few optimistic voices say a million people, but I'd call that exaggerated at the moment.
Just yesterday in the thread someone posted an alleged statement from an IRGC defector saying that he was the last from his unit to quit, that gunning down all those civilians had cratered morale among the regime's troops and most were only sticking around because desertion is punished with death, and that the targeted bombings and subsequent headless behavior from the regime has convinced a lot of them to risk that penalty.
Now that statement could've been made up entirely and the grunts could all be chomping at the bit to gun down more civilians, but even in that case I'd expect them to be less coordinated about it going forward with all their top leadership dead.
 
Genuinely why does everyone put so much faith on the exiled prince? to me he is more of an average guy talking about supporting the Iranian people and how Iran used to have jews until the muzzies came and nothing else on the situation or its potential global relationship.
Because that is the only thing that matters, people need someone to lead them, a public face with clear goals will motivate a lot of people to put their lives on the line.
 
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