Iran Crisis & the 2026 War between Iran and the United States, Gulf States, and Israel - Please focus on news and coverage, not argumentation.

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Ghostse said:
Dubya was a sharper tack than people gave him credit for, but man could not give a press conference to save his life.
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Dubya was far more articulate in his younger years, but he did a lot of partying in the 80s and fried his brain with too much booze and cocaine. Some of how he carried himself was a schtick, but it was as much about hiding the truth as it was about trying to appear more relatable.

Fortunately Trump seemed to have learned a lot from Bush's failings. Even though he's not a military man, his long history in business let's him spot bullshitters a lot better than most. He has a very good chance of getting regime change by the end of the campaign and helping Iran rebuild into a country that will be far more friendly to the West or at least won't be stirring up shit throughout the Middle East.
 
PointOfNoReturnPoint said:
I have gone through the most important posts on the last few pages, but where can I get a 101 on the state of this so far? It's all over the place on this thread.
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The state so far is Iran is still being autistic as fuck. Israel is striking iranian oil sites which the U.S. is pissed about and random cargo ships are being struck by Iran because Autistic desperation.
 
Useful_Mistake said:
Unammed Israeli official: "there is no certainty the war against Iran will lead to a collapse of its clerical government"

Israel Foreign Minister Mr. Saar: "Iran’s government could survive the war"

I feel like this is pretty much the same statement, no?
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No.
"sees no certainty" and "despite the war" in the title, not to mention the obvious message the article is trying to push throughout its body of text, are a very different message than the noncommittal "could" quoted from Saar.
 
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Onepumpplumpchump said:
The state so far is Iran is still being autistic as fuck. Israel is striking iranian oil sites which the U.S. is pissed about and random cargo ships are being struck by Iran because Autistic desperation.
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Iran is also transitioning from military to civilian targets since they suck so badly at destroying military equipment that they hope blowing up banks will scare people enough into ending the war.
Additionally, they said something about firing missiles "continuously" rather than "in retaliation," which basically translates to them trying to blow what's left of their load before the rest of their launchers are gone.
 
PointOfNoReturnPoint said:
I have gone through the most important posts on the last few pages, but where can I get a 101 on the state of this so far? It's all over the place on this thread.
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Here's your tl;dr
ThisIsGonnaBeGood

Post in thread 'Iran Crisis & the 2026 War between Iran and the United States, Gulf States, and Israel'

capeshit said:
Ships hit in the Strait of Hormuz

Alleged pics of damage sustained by Mayuree Naree
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Good to see proof that ships are risking the trek, and it appears like the most Iran can do is give superficial damage. Even that one that caught fire had it extinguished with little trouble.

In other news, the Shah gives an update.
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Reactions:Informative x 13 Like x 4 Feels x 1 Dumb x 1 Optimistic x 3
 
0713 said:
No.
"sees no certainty" and "despite the war" in the title, not to mention the obvious message the article is trying to push throughout its body of text, are a very different messages than the noncommittal "could" quoted from Saar.
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Well, we'll have to agree to disagree then.
 
Pastacore said:
Why do people pretend its a mystery and sign of failure that an armed revolt hasn't happened yet when they got explicitly told not to go out until the bombs stopped?
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They're either bad actors pretending to be retarded, intentionally lying directly or through omission, or genuine retards who don't actually pay attention to anything but still think they have anything worthwhile to say, when they don't.
 
Unredacted TND said:
How much longer do you guys think it'll go on?
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Trump refused to give an exact timeline because duh, but between Israeli intelligence, military buildup, and Iran losing the ability to pay its IRGC troops, it's looking like about two more weeks give or take. Wait a minute... Two more weeks plus the almost two weeks it's been ongoing... Doesn't that add up to about the same timeframe Trump said it would be at the start?
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Source | Archive
 
Unredacted TND said:
How much longer do you guys think it'll go on?

Also i'm 80% sure Khamenei Jr. is dead by now.
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Hes probably not dead but a vegetable with no legs. Theyre desperate thats the signals they're sending right now.

ThisIsGonnaBeGood said:
Trump refused to give an exact timeline because duh, but between Israeli intelligence, military buildup, and Iran losing the ability to pay its IRGC troops, it's looking like about two more weeks given. Wait a minute... Two more weeks plus the almost two weeks it's been ongoing... Doesn't that add up to about the same timeframe Trump said it would be at the start?
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Source | Archive
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Theocracy and Regieme is rotting at this point. The fact they're going after banks and cargo ships proves that. They have almost no leverage.
 
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PointOfNoReturnPoint said:
I have gone through the most important posts on the last few pages, but where can I get a 101 on the state of this so far? It's all over the place on this thread.
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theyre busy with ramadan and doing a martyrversary of brown guy #4521 who died 1500 years ago.
also they're rolling through their waves of TRUE PROMISE 4 by the hour, they were at wave 38 seven hours ago, up to 39 now.
and i guess theyre absolutely dominating because they say so and morale is obligatory or your haram and you must donate your 9 year old daughters to the ayatollah:

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www.tasnimnews.ir

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www.tasnimnews.ir
they arent allah'ing to akbar hard enough

also some taqiyya about the new elected khameini

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www.saba.ye

also they totally have like 200k missiles in super cool underground cities and can last many years launching shit every day.

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www.saba.ye
 
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Genuinely why does everyone put so much faith on the exiled prince? to me he is more of an average guy talking about supporting the Iranian people and how Iran used to have jews until the muzzies came and nothing else on the situation or its potential global relationship.
 
 
The old US strategy was arming rebels and toppling regimes. The new strategy seems to be pummeling regimes within an inch of their life to force compliance. Let's see how it plays out.
 
1999 prick said:
Genuinely why does everyone put so much faith on the exiled prince? to me he is more of an average guy talking about supporting the Iranian people and how Iran used to have jews until the muzzies came and nothing else on the situation or its potential global relationship.
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He's the closest thing to a singular leader for the Iranian people to rally around. It's not him so much as a living embodiment of the way things used to be before the Revolution.
 
I dont this how this drags on given the circumstances Iran finds themselves in. Tehran will run out of water, they were trying to print their way out of the sanctions before the war, now the banks are locked and trade is almost seized. When the military doesn't get paid, youre a free agent.

Per my friend in the Caucuses, theres a huge buildup of trucks at the border of Azerbaijan and Armenia but only a few are getting through because Iran is worried about security, letting in CIA or Mossad but it can't last forever.
1999 prick said:
Genuinely why does everyone put so much faith on the exiled prince?
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Legitimacy. Plus hes a popular diaspora figure and symbol. As much as I like the guy, I have some reservations about his capability to lead, but hes the best we got that isn't a crazy religious fatalist.
 
Dammit Mandrake! said:
Please correct me if I am wrong and it was a fake video, but the whole cardboard cut out episode suggests that your sources are wrong.

Seriously, correct me. It is too pathetic it can't be real.
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I'm sorry if I'm stupid, but I'm not sure what in my post you're addressing. I glanced it over again, and I see no mention of a video
 
1999 prick said:
Genuinely why does everyone put so much faith on the exiled prince? to me he is more of an average guy talking about supporting the Iranian people and how Iran used to have jews until the muzzies came and nothing else on the situation or its potential global relationship.
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He's the figure used by the protesters to rally. They basically all say Long Live the Shah since the beginning of the year, even those who were opposed to a monarchist restoration before. He also made a program in order to transform the country into a Constitutional Monarchy or a Republic which seems pretty serious as far as we know. Iranians listen to him in any case.
 
Unredacted TND said:
How much longer do you guys think it'll go on?
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Two more weeks.

Its been long enough and the low-effort tourists are gone.
The joke is everything is "two more weeks" is because most events time lines are given in "two weeks". It is further away than next week (so less clock watching) but not too far in the future.
Its gotten a lot of use by both sides in the Ukrainian conflict, but it was used a lot of before.

Useful_Mistake said:
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Let me translate that from journoshit:
"We are going to give the Iranian people a window to over throw their government. Arabs are notorious shit at war so its possible the regime will hold out. Israel isn't going to put boots on the ground (except for maybe commando raids). If the Iranian people don't replace their government, we have plans (spoiler: leveling the entire country)."


Useful_Mistake said:
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> Oil is at $65 a barrel
> 20% of the global supply goes through the Straight of Homos
> OIL WILL GO TO $200 A BARREL IF EVERY JEW ISN'T DEAD BY THE END OF RAMADAN!

CaliforniaRaisin said:
Of course I have. That doesn't change my statement or opinion in the slightest. While all presidents fumble, Trump seems to just say shit and let others explain what he "really" meant in the Zeitgeist.
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Vibe Leadership

SaidNoOneEver said:
It's the exact opposite. Our influence in the Middle East is going to be replaced by China now. Almost immediately. We're witnessing the end of the petrodollar in real time and dumb people who don't understand what that means are cheering it on.
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Gulf Arabs, watching Iran get curbed, the latest chinese radars get moged, and US air defense take out 98% of Iran's drones and missiles aimed at them while China hasn't even condemned Iran's attacks on their civilians: You know what? Lets switch to team CCP. Who cares about them genociding their muslims. I heard they gave Iran a really good deal on that physical gate they are using to close the Hormuz.
 
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