Iran Crisis & the 2026 War between Iran and the United States, Gulf States, and Israel - Please focus on news and coverage, not argumentation.

[SaidNoOneEver]

Wright deleted the post, and no escorting is taking place according to sources, weird. (direct link)

Iran doubled-down.

https://x.com/TehranTimes79/status/2031410007678284055

Trump's move I guess.

 

[StudMccool]

Not at the scale shown in the video AFAIK (and I don't care about appeals to authority, unless they show their work I assume they're talking out of their ass).

China is transiting the straight now


I doubt US warships are anywhere near there, there is no evidence to back that up

 

[Fanatical Pragmatist]

The only explanation I can think of is Trump wanting to get ahead of the oil and stock market having a panic attack by assuring them things were moving smoothly.
Can't say the plan didn't work, if so lol.

In this scenario they'd still have more incentive to use the spoof to create the illusion that ships are passing by with their transponders on.

Fuck me side ways, what fucking motive would a source of marine intelligence have to pull shit out of their ass? that is neither brown or chinese.
My poost is more focused in addressing your stunned discovery that ships spoof their marine activity rather than the xeet itself. now why is it at that scale? the fucking xeet itself explains it, it is a satellite interference most likely by Iran and this interference isn't uncommon either as the most recent example is Russia doing it.

No, it doesn't explain most of the questions raised.

You posted a video that showed explosions going underneath and emerging from the other side of a target and claimed it was a painting.

It's funny because they could just claim it was a blow-up or even plywood decoy; but their IQ is at hypothermia-inducing temperatures so they'd rather just double-down and pretend paintings on the ground can cast 3D geometry on infrared footage.

 

[smallground]

Iran doubled-down.

View attachment 8681651

China is transiting the straight now
View attachment 8681654View attachment 8681657

I doubt US warships are anywhere near there, there is no evidence to back that up

With any luck Iran will strike a Chinese ship and permanently condemn their own country.

Oil prices down again today, trending back to normal after the pre-open trading spike yesterday where it reached $115. Before the war the price was $67.20.

 

[StudMccool]

With any luck Iran will strike a Chinese ship and permanently condemn their own country.
View attachment 8681674
Oil prices down again today, trending back to normal after the pre-open trading spike yesterday where it reached $115. Before the war the price was $67.20.

you need to factor in the fact all sanctions have been removed from russia, they are now able to make profit in a way we have worked for 4 years to stop, this oil price going back down was painfully bought

US fighter pilots think the shoot down was intentional

 

[ThisIsGonnaBeGood]

With any luck Iran will strike a Chinese ship and permanently condemn their own country.
View attachment 8681674
Oil prices down again today, trending back to normal after the pre-open trading spike yesterday where it reached $115. Before the war the price was $67.20.

Trump's plan really could just be a propaganda war where they continually overwhelm investors with good news to keep them calm until the Strait is 100% secured.
Really, the only play Iran has is to make oil investors panic and drive up the price.

 

[Snekposter]

The Telegraph have joined in on the rumors on the fate of Esmail Qa'ani, Brigadier General of the IRGC. Stating that there are speculations he's either under house arrest, has been executed, or is currently being interrogated by the IRGC. All under the suspicion that he's a Mossad spy, after having survived the 12-day war and this war unscathed and Israeli media mocking his survival as being due to the fact he's an Israeli asset.

Okay, now I'm convinced he isn't an Israeli asset (or if he is/was they've simply decided he's past his best-by date), because there's no point in openly gloating about him working for you unless you want the other guys to black bag him and hook his nuts up to a golf cart battery.

Of course due to recent military losses that golf cart battery may have been requisitioned as a replacement part and replaced with a go kart battery, but it still doesn't change the fact he'd be off the board as an asset and on the waterboard as a torture victim.

Then again, the man does have a rather large schnozz, and for all we know he could be praying in a Tel Aviv synagogue as we speak...

 

[ThisIsGonnaBeGood]

you need to factor in the fact all sanctions have been removed from russia, they are now able to make profit in a way we have worked for 4 years to stop, this oil price going back down was painfully bought

I never had a problem with Russia or its oil. It's not like Europe avoided buying it.

 

[StudMccool]

I thought the whole navy was already gone?

Guess we are still chipping away at it

They HAVE to get Trump to stop giving updates on this shit, everything he says is wrong, dude went on a 2 hour press conference and shouted that that navy was completely destroyed like 12 times and said we are wrapping up now, just patently false.

Special Military Operation Little Military Excursion

 

[Ghostse]

This, even if their government doesn't collapse: america stops attacking by tomorrow:

• IRGC becomes the actual power in Iran, which is terrible for their government long term, since it they will be puppeted by warlords, even their religious mullahs will have no actual power
• Iranian industry is destroyed, their airline industry is destroyed, Oil industry damaged to the levels of the iran-iraq war, ports and shipyards attacked and damaged, etc
• Iran has pissed off everyone, even China is displeased greatly since their oil supply was threatened, people who in good faith negotiated to help them like Qatar, UAE, Saudis who had in 2023 buried the hatched with Iran, were bombed and attacked and had innocent citizens killed, Dubai was greatly damaged in it's reputation as a safe global financial and shipping hub, this is a trillion dollar problem for the UAE now and i bet the sheikhs aren't happy
• Pakistan has a border with Iran and a defense pact with saudi arabia that can be activated any time, they also gave them ballistic missiles and allegedly saudi arabia financed their nuclear program in exchange for buying the nukes off the shelf if the situation demands it.
• Everyone and their mother will build oil routes to ports in the red sea or through turkey and Syria to ship oil through the Mediterranean now
• Even more sanctions and less good will amongst neighbors to ship goods and services to iran, in a country with a severe food inflation, drought and a completely worthless currency, with hundreds of police stations and secret police headquarters destroyed, that means no centralized CCTV, files on protesters, evidence for sham public trials, etc, good luck containing a mass protest like earlier this year without all of this

Here is how Hilary can still win.

to add to your points
If this conflict ends with the IRGC/Mullah's still in charge,
- Israel will go full scorched earth on Iran's refining infrastructure and possibly oil fields. If you think things are bad now, wait till even the oil and refining revenue is nearly gone.
- Azerbaijan will likely be given the greenlight to go over the border and create some sort of Azeri buffer region. Iran's forces will be unlikely able to stop them, and I think while Azerbaijan isn't exactly some high GDP paradise, its better than being shackled to a retarded death cult.
- Kurds might make a Kurdistan play.

Iran attacked countries who didn't even involve themselves in the affairs like Azerbaijan. If anything this war has really made israel less of a pariah state in the region to to Iranian stupidity.

The Arabs are really pissed because Iran being a violent retard lashing out at everyone around it means the Jews were right this whole time. And for proving the jew correct, Iran must pay.

I'm sure you've seen the chart showing how Iranian missile and drone launches are down like 90% for missiles and like 95% for drones from their peak on days 1 and 2 of the war. Shipping sure looks like it's about to call Iran's bluff on the Strait. The next 48 hours will probably tell the tale there. Damage to logistics facilities and port terminals has shown no signs of being significant. You're copecabanaing hard here. The vibe didn't shift from WTI going ~$91 Sunday afternoon to ~$119 in the middle of Sunday-Monday night, then bottoming out at ~$84 (currently at ~$89) once Western markets opened Monday morning for no reason. The people with skin in the game, to the tune of many billions of dollars, are currently believing Iran can't close the Strait

No that's impossible. They have that big gate that @SaidNoOneEver told us about. Iran just hase to keep that closed. Any thing that is less than $500/barrel oil prices is due to westoid coping, jew media manipulation, and NAFO propaganda.

That's something that no opposing nation really wants to test and why Iran is being put down now specifically before it has any nukes. One reason why Russia is so difficult to deal with in the 4-year Ukraine War is because it is a nuclear power, limiting the options to hit back on Russian territory to counter the aggression. Remember when the idea was being floated around that Putin could use a tactical nuke? North Korea is also effectively immune to aggression, and we're just lucky that Kim Jong Un seems to lack regional ambition (unlike Iran) and just be content with torturing his people in isolation.

Russia has demonstrated for 80+ years that while they are retarded steppe apes who like to puff and posture, when it gets down to brass tacks they understand what is at risk with nukes and they are capable of behaving rationally when forced to.

North Korea and Pakistan, the other unreliable nuclear entities, have also shown that they aren't retards with the button. Norks have been working on ballistic missiles but none with nuclear payload capability, only short ones to hit Worst Korea and Japan. They are the crazy hermit kingdom but haven't made any moves that make them seem unstable or likely to strike first. They just make themselves not worth the risk.
THe Norks also don't sponsor international terrorism, though the west cucking on their hacking and scam farms is cringe.

Pakistan has not worked on any long range strike capabilities and have taken not only nuclear first strike off the table for them completely, but taken extra steps to ensure their nukes don't end up in the hands of internal islamists. They also don't send their generals to coordinate and instruct international terrorists.

Assembly of the Arab Tribes of Khuzestan pledges allegiance to Pahlavi. If this is authentic, besides being another step toward open rebellion, it's obviously a nice boost to Pahlavi and an inversely bad hit to that Arab secessionist militia from a couple pages ago (since these guys are explicitly only demanding autonomy and language/custom rights, not independence). If/when the green light for armed revolution goes out - hard to say how Khuzestani Arab tribesmen might fare in battle vs. the depleted IRGC and other Islamist forces, but tribes in general (not just in Khuzestan) like to hoard guns regardless of legality and if Syria's any indicator, such tribals tend to be disorganized but suicidally brave fighters with or without literal suicide bombs (over there they bullrushed Druze secessionists with Israeli air support and managed to reverse a near-total victory for the Druze/Jews into one where the latter have had to concede half of Suwayda back to AJ's Damascene government).

In any case, come the rebellion stage, Pahlavi could seriously use as many sand/mountain niggas packing heat as he can possibly get, even if they might be less than conventionally effective rabble (as Arab tribesmen tend to be).

You are over stating the situation for the Druze a bit; they managed to shock the Bedouins with a sudden attack, but the Jews launched airstrikes to support them because they were getting rolled very hard because the leadership of the uprising was a bunch of stupid retards. By the time AJ's forces showed up to try to get the two factions to separate, it was already going against the Druze.

But while things like this are great, I'm really concerned about if there is regime change, if the Shah is chosen by the people.... how long until internal strife crops up because of how fucked up Iran is and how long it will take to unfuck even with a best case scenario..

these guys fucking suck

Hi. Welcome to what everyone smart realized 47 years ago.

Spoiler: Cucker Qatarlson

I bailed completely on Tucker when the ukraine war started. Dude went completely off into loony town and it looks like he has only got worse since.

My dad also watched Tucker Carlson on Fox News, and from my distant observation and recollection, the slimy way of talking Tucker exhibits now is not something he had back then, including the bizarre, excited laugh that is always remarked on now. I didn't watch Tucker myself, but didn't mind him either. When he got kicked out of Fox News, I asked my dad if he was going to listen to Tucker's new podcast, but my dad couldn't be bothered to follow him to a different media platform. I'm glad he didn't, though I've also never asked him for an update on what he thinks of Tucker. I get the impression a lot of Tucker's clout (or perhaps the illusion of his clout) comes from older folks who remember him fondly on Fox News but don't realize what he has transformed into since then.

I've always hated Tucker Carlson, even when he was on Fox News saying the things we all wanted to hear. He always talked to his audience like he was talking to a group of retarded grade school kids, and he's always been unbearably smug imho. His laugh is like nails on a chalkboard to me.

I never followed any talking heads, but it was nice when Tucker was countering the obviously false MSM narrative. Now it seems he was more about a stopped clock than any sort of actual Noticing on his part.

I get anyone in media hating the jews (see: Mel Gibson) but again: You can hate Israel and Iran at the same time.

I can respect Rand Paul's "pure isolationist" stance. I think he's retarded in that Iran is a threat to the US and has fucked with us before and is behind those responsible for the USS Cole, but he is at least ideologically consistent, he has reasoning for his points, and I think its important that someone is pumping the brakes on foreign adventures.
But Tucker isn't a pure principaled isolationist. He's taking Arab money so he's not really America First anymore.

I like Tucker Carlson but at the end of the day hes fallen into the trap and found his niche that he makes money from.
He has found his spot in the alt right grift space that usally is less factual at times.

Pretty much this.
He isn't actually putting out information just preaching to the choir with some added Qatari agiprop in the message.

Tucker is sucking so much Islamist dick these days.

It is so fucking sad to see.

Spoiler: MUH DUBYA DUBYA TOO

And Stalin missed out on Barbarossa because he stubbornly refused to change his mind that he could trust Hitler. This is all hindsight skewing things. If the Roosevelt administration *knew* Pearl Harbor was coming, it could have had land based air ready and carriers prepositioned to ream the 1st Air Fleet after its planes were too far away to come back quickly. Then you as FDR get to reeeee that Japan tried to sucker punch us but we big stronk Murica, we beat the shit out of them, and now we're going to keep beating the shit out of them. It's all silly

Its even better than that. Stalin refused to believe Hitler had betrayed him because Stalin was preparing to betray Hitler once germany was weakened from war. His melty was driven by the fact he couldn't believe Hitler did him before he could do Hitler.

Which to be fair to Stalin, the USSR was Germany's main supplier of oil, Germany wouldn't be able to maintain its war without their oil. Staline believed he had until 1947 IIRC to industrialize the USSR and be ready to export the revolution to German soil.

There's also the fact that not only were there no carriers present at Pearl Harbor, but no modern battleships either. The vintage there were all older 14 inch gunned Standards that did not have the range or the speed to charge across the Pacific and fight the IJN.

What are you talking about? those 14inchers were accross the pacific by 1943.

IJN planners wanted the carriers and their airwings gone for fear their first strike would be ineffective.

Pearl Harbor and 9/11 were gigantic intelligence failures that required several dozen different warnings from different sources and stations, from every branch to be ignored time and time again until the last hours before they happened.

There's no excuse, there's no level of incompetence on this level that can be justified, thus the conspiracy theories.

This pretty much covers it.

So if FDR warned of the attacks ahead of time, we wouldn't enter war with Japan after Pearl Harbor and Hitler doesn't declare war on the US 4 days later.

It's possible (if probably unlikely) the US never gets pulled into the European/North Africa theater at all. But war with Japan was inevitable, due to their need for oil from the Dutch East Indies. Presumably Hitler would still declare war on the US after we enter war with Japan, but maybe if it took a bit longer things would play out differently.

Virtually impossible. FDR was already soft guiding the US into war with Germany. It would have only been a question of timeline; Germany was having MASSIVE logistical issues in North Africa and faltering even before the Yanks showed up, the US just made defeat inevitable & quicker instead of merely likely.

 

[smallground]

Really, the only play Iran has is to make oil investors panic and drive up the price.

They have been. Iran has struck multiple oil and natural gas plants and many of them have shut off preemptively to minimize damage if they do get attacked. Source
The problem with closing the straight is that it restricts trade for everyone, including China. Early into the war China completely cut off all exports of diesel and gasoline because they're reliant on a steady supply from Iran. Israel also struck a major refinery in Tehran so maybe they planned 3000 years ahead for the war over the Pacific. Source

 

[Suburban Bastard]

https://x.com/DeItaone/status/2031418325469679651?s=20

US navy escorted an oil vessel through the strait.

Never mind post deleted lol

Fucking terrible thing to lie about

 

[Ghostse]

It would be really funny if he is completely loyal and just that lucky.
"Why aren't you a martyr yet?!" The question is asked.

you know your military situation is fucked when survival is grounds for arrest and execution lol.

"We know you are a traitor because you aren't dead!"
Iran bros winning harder than you could ever understand.

The Telegraph have joined in on the rumors on the fate of Esmail Qa'ani, Brigadier General of the IRGC. Stating that there are speculations he's either under house arrest, has been executed, or is currently being interrogated by the IRGC. All under the suspicion that he's a Mossad spy, after having survived the 12-day war and this war unscathed and Israeli media mocking his survival as being due to the fact he's an Israeli asset.

Guys, guys we meme'd Iran into executing one of their own generals.

You posted a video that showed explosions going underneath and emerging from the other side of a target and claimed it was a painting.

Look bro Iranian painters are just that good. I don't know why this so hard to accept.

With any luck Iran will strike a Chinese ship and permanently condemn their own country.
View attachment 8681674
Oil prices down again today, trending back to normal after the pre-open trading spike yesterday where it reached $115. Before the war the price was $67.20.

Economic meltdown bros.....

 

[StudMccool]

BTW other than oil this is the other huge linchpin, fertilizer


Also on the ground video from CNN shows either us or Israel bombing residential building

 

[SaidNoOneEver]

Really, the only play Iran has is to make oil investors panic and drive up the price.

That has been Iran's only plan for 80 years and so far the only one they needed.

 

[Snekposter]

That has been Iran's only plan for 80 years and so far the only one they needed.

Turns out it uh... hasn't been working as well as they were hoping it might.

 

[lurker7274519]

Also on the ground video from CNN shows either us or Israel bombing residential building

You know they lost and they know it, when they start with the MUH Human Rights bullshit.

Turns out it uh... hasn't been working as well as they were hoping it might.

A bluff only works if you don't get called out.

 

[Maori Kiwifruit Growers]

The American government is the most disgusting, vile creature to ever set its foot on Earth. When it finally collapses for good, no one in thousand years will ever miss it, just like literally no one misses the Mongolian Empire today in 2026

Tell us how you really feel

 

[StudMccool]

You know they lost and they know it, when they start with the MUH Human Rights bullshit.

none of the iranians in the video or even the journalist do the MUh human rights thing, dead serious, all he does it show what is actually going on and a few people talking about life being difficult but they find ways to keep going.

Actually decent journalism, dude is putting himself in danger to get a story and not trying to force a narrative.

 

[Unredacted TND]

It occurred to me that no one really gives a fuck about Lebanon lol. Not even fucking reddit.