Iran Crisis & the 2026 War between Iran and the United States, Gulf States, and Israel - Please focus on news and coverage, not argumentation.

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Aftermath of Iranian strikes on the US base in Bahrain, filmed earlier today.

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Scenes from Tuyserkan, western Iran.

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The Iranians targeted an American destroyer 400 miles in the Indian Ocean while it was refueling. They didn't even bother pretending they hit it. "We targeted your ship!" Yeah, I want to fuck Sidney Sweeney, doesn't mean it's gonna happen.




Qatari authorities say to Sky News UK that they have arrested two cells affiliated with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in the country.
 
Chang is an inside joke between Jeb Bush and Rubio. Bush described "Chang" as a "mythical conservative warrior"

I mean hell, I'm curious as to what more they're going to do, because the bombing campaign they're doing in Iran is already insane.
I usually just say chink but I'll accept chang since they're in a workplace and you can't be too overt with your ethnic slurs.
 
Arming a militia within a country to take down a regime... this surely won't backfire this time.
You assume that the intention is for the US to stick around. If the US needed a democracy on the other side, this would be an issue. But Iran simply being completely hobbled and the existing government toppled is more than enough.
 
The problem here, I think, is that the founding fathers didn't foresee a situation where a country goes to war, without formally declaring such. I don't think the military operations we conduct now were ever contemplated as part of their 18th century understanding of the world.

That's why we eventually ended up with the War Powers Act.
More broadly, wars in the 18th century tooks months to warm up. You had to call the regiments together, or raise the citizens militias. This takes time. And even if the war was against a next door neighbor you would still have to assemble everyone near the border, get all the equipment brought in, and the officers assigned. Shit took weeks to months.

God help you if the war needs to happen in a country that is not next door to you. Now you have to start thinking about sailing ships.

In this context, giving the legislature war deciding power makes sense. Even if you want to attack someone, they will have weeks to months to think about it. And its not like you can hide what you are doing from the neighboring country, so even the operational security excuse doesn't really apply.

Now though, a war can get started within hours. Or the opportunity to strike a decisive blow right at the start by surprise (as happened here) is possible but would require a hair triggers notice. Suddenly its not quite so clear cut that Congress needs to spend weeks dithering about whether or not war is needed.

This also doesn't factor in the fact that there is no such thing as a "loyal opposition" in America anymore. Whoever is in charge will be opposed lock step by whoever is not, for any reason or pretext. Which would hamstring the war deciding capability of the nation. Which would be a disaster. If American enemies assume the USA is incapable of fucking their shit up because the decision on fucking them up is dying in committee or getting filibustered, they aren't going to take anything we say seriously.
 
Some analysis from my Iranian friend:
He thinks the western air strikes today are preparing for the Kurds to take over as confirmed by recent reports. He says Azeris, Gilakis, Lurs, and Mazanis are in that region. One issue of concern he expressed is the Azeris are staunch enemies of the Kurds which could get messy if they start shooting at each other instead of the IRGC.
 
Iranian civilians still dare to yell 'Pahlavi will return' and other slogans from their windows & rooftops in Tehran this evening, even though doing so inevitably gets the IRGC patrolling the streets to shoot up at them.



That statement from Blumenthal sounds like we are putting troops on the ground.

I know this was a red line for some of the miggers in here. You are welcome to join in a real America First position that doesn't fight Israel's wars for them. I won't hold it against you.
You'll know an American invasion is going to happen if & only if there are massive ground force movements toward Iran, similar to those preceding the invasion of Iraq - movements which would be impossible to hide, which would doubtless take more months, and which pointedly have not happened anytime during the buildup to this air campaign vs. Iran. (Keep in mind the Iraq invasion took nearly 500k US troops, and 2003 Iraq was significantly weaker than 1991 Iraq or - in theory, at least - 2026 Iran.) Until & unless that happens, you can safely chalk this one up to Democrat fearmongering.

It is of course possible that small numbers of Green Berets, CIA agents, etc. are going to/already in Iran, to do shit like sabotage Iranian facilities or headhunt important IR officials or organize rebellions in Pahlavi's name. But that's definitely not what anyone is thinking of when they talk about a boots-on-the-ground invasion. I've posted the Al-Arabiya news report somewhere here before, but Mossad and Israeli special forces have reportedly already been there to do something.
 
Some analysis from my Iranian friend:
He thinks the western air strikes today are preparing for the Kurds to take over as confirmed by recent reports. He says Azeris, Gilakis, Lurs, and Mazanis are in that region. One issue of concern he expressed is the Azeris are staunch enemies of the Kurds which could get messy if they start shooting at each other instead of the IRGC.
Azeris are also arguably even more pro-Ayatroonlah than Persians themselves, the Shiafication of Iran was led by the Azeris, and Khamenei was himself half-Azeri.
 
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