US US Politics General - Discussion of President Biden and other politicians

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Well Breyer is reportedly upset his retirement was leaked before he announced it. Now imagine the salt flow if he does this.

 
They're making him retire cause they don't want to risk him croaking after 2024 when we have a conservative president again. If that happens, it's over for them.
 
But do you want her as President of the United States?

I’m not saying it’s going to happen, but you have an administration in free fall and the VP is even more unpopular than the president (who is senile and may not run again). Wouldn’t you want to jettison the VP in a manner that you could argue was a promotion (Lifetime appointment to the highest court in the land) and then try to replace her with someone who polls ahead of genital herpes?
Harris as president means she's gone in 2 years
Harris as justice? You are looking at potentially half a century
 
New Quinnipac poll dropped... this one was taken only within Georgia, but I think the non-Georgia specific bits should apply nationally. Here's the Georgia-specific meat first:
  • Herschel Walker has 81% support in his Republican primary.
  • Walker would beat Warnock by a single percentage point, 49%-48%.
  • Kemp has 43% of Republican primary voters, Purdue has 36%.
  • Kemp would get 49% of the vote and Abrams 47% in a hypothetical Round 2 for the governorship.
  • If Purdue were in Kemp's place in that hypothetical Round 2, they would both get 48%.
And for the national stuff:
  • Biden job approval: 36% approve, 59% disapprove. 3% of Republicans approve of Biden's performance compared to 77% of Democrats. 70% of blacks approve of Biden.
 
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Like wow. I almost exclusively ignore anything posted from Palmer or Brooklyn Dad for being insanely left cope-fantasy.

But that's the political savvy of a fantasy feral race right there. Harris resigning immediately deadlocks Senate. With Manchin in full rebellion and Sienema likely compromised, Senate is already in a bad place, removing the tie breaker ensures it is at best locked down if they can win back the two errant sheep.

Romney as the nomination? I can't even guess how that'd go in the Senate. Establishment Dems know he's on of their ilk, and he's the star RINO, but those Dems at risk from the progressive wing, and pretty much any not safe Republican(either purple or risking a primary) have to vote against him for either just having an R or being in the top 5 most reviled by their own party Republicans. Getting him in is a big if.

I don't know how Centrists feel about Romney, but I don't see a RINO in the VP slot making the disaster that is Biden any more appealing. Flipping 2022 to the best Midterm of this type is full on pants on head exceptional, the best they can hope for is someone keeping Senate tie broken by the VP and Congress close enough to be able to bribe RINOs when it counts.
 
New Quinnipac poll dropped... this one was taken only within Georgia, but I think the non-Georgia specific bits should apply nationally. Here's the Georgia-specific meat first:
  • Herschel Walker has 81% support in his Republican primary.
  • Walker would beat Warnock by a single percentage point, 49%-48%.
  • Kemp has 43% of Republican primary voters, Purdue has 36%.
  • Kemp would get 49% of the vote and Abrams 47% in a hypothetical Round 2 for the governorship.
  • If Purdue were in Kemp's place in that hypothetical Round 2, they would both get 48%.
And for the national stuff:
  • Biden job approval: 36% approve, 59% disapprove. 3% of Republicans approve of Biden's performance compared to 77% of Democrats. 70% of blacks approve of Biden.
How the hell is Trump's candidate struggling against some nigger that no one has heard of before.

And how is Kemp leading, given his massive fuckups compared to Abbott.
 
How the hell is Trump's candidate struggling against some nigger that no one has heard of before.

And how is Kemp leading, given his massive fuckups compared to Abbott.
If it helps, a lot of voters still don't seem to know who Walker is. He's got 42% favorability and 27% unfavorability with 30% of voters unable to decide if they like him or not.

No idea what's going on with Kemp/Purdue though.
 
If it helps, a lot of voters still don't seem to know who Walker is. He's got 42% favorability and 27% unfavorability with 30% of voters unable to decide if they like him or not.

No idea what's going on with Kemp/Purdue though.
Georgia. What is happening is Georgia.


Georgia has been for a long time the RINO capital of the world. Of those markers of what does or does not make that caucus, the average Republican Georgia voter has most. In Georgia, the RINOs make up the majority.
 
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Like wow. I almost exclusively ignore anything posted from Palmer or Brooklyn Dad for being insanely left cope-fantasy.

But that's the political savvy of a fantasy feral race right there. Harris resigning immediately deadlocks Senate. With Manchin in full rebellion and Sienema likely compromised, Senate is already in a bad place, removing the tie breaker ensures it is at best locked down if they can win back the two errant sheep.

Romney as the nomination? I can't even guess how that'd go in the Senate. Establishment Dems know he's on of their ilk, and he's the star RINO, but those Dems at risk from the progressive wing, and pretty much any not safe Republican(either purple or risking a primary) have to vote against him for either just having an R or being in the top 5 most reviled by their own party Republicans. Getting him in is a big if.

I don't know how Centrists feel about Romney, but I don't see a RINO in the VP slot making the disaster that is Biden any more appealing. Flipping 2022 to the best Midterm of this type is full on pants on head exceptional, the best they can hope for is someone keeping Senate tie broken by the VP and Congress close enough to be able to bribe RINOs when it counts.
The more I think over this whole idea, the more it sounds like the sort of bizarre actions that you'd undertake in Hearts of Iron 4 to get a weird country, like Technocratic Vietnam. Somehow, I fear this actually makes it more likely, in the sense that HoI is the exact sort of game I'd expect CNN armchair analysts to play to understand historical political context.
 
How the hell is Trump's candidate struggling against some nigger that no one has heard of before.

And how is Kemp leading, given his massive fuckups compared to Abbott.
Checked Quinnipiac's 2020 track record:

Nationally: Biden+11
Actual: Biden+4

Florida: Biden +3
Actual: Trump+3

Ohio: Biden+5
Actual: Trump+8

Texas: Tied
Actual: Trump+6

It's worth more as toilet paper. It has a Democrat lean of 6 at a minimum.
 
Checked Quinnipiac's 2020 track record:

Nationally: Biden+11
Actual: Biden+4

Florida: Biden +3
Actual: Trump+3

Ohio: Biden+5
Actual: Trump+8

Texas: Tied
Actual: Trump+6

It's worth more as toilet paper. It has a Democrat lean of 6 at a minimum.
I'm going to defend my nominal colleagues here. They have done a fair bit of reweighting and analysis of their polling since to determine how they were so wrong. Probably still a lean but likely within the normal margin of error.
 
I'm going to defend my nominal colleagues here. They have done a fair bit of reweighting and analysis of their polling since to determine how they were so wrong. Probably still a lean but likely within the normal margin of error.
They have to prove it with accurate calls. They didn't poll Virginia in 2021 so 2020 is the most recent poll to result comparison anyone can make.

They are incompetent until proven capable.
 
They have to prove it with accurate calls. They didn't poll Virginia in 2021 so 2020 is the most recent poll to result comparison anyone can make.

They are incompetent until proven capable.
I'll agree with that. Especially since they are not making public or available to their peers their weighting.
 

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I missed this, it was linked in a reply as part of that IsaiahLCarter thread. Who knew the Afghanistan pull and pray method was now official Biden Admin policy?
 
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