He really is dumb and has no idea of history. He is talking about the last 80 years being the long peace, without actually referring to the term, as he probably does not know it. However, he interprets that as though there was no war and discusses the fact that there are several small wars now is the cause of the americcan power decreasing. Hoewver, he does not state that even during the last 80 years there have been constant wars in most of the world, the reason why it is referred to as the long peace is the fact that there has been no major war between the major powers. He is an imbecile who presumes himself an expert on history and international politics, however he has no idea what he is talking about.
Concerning his list:
1 North-Korean collapse but somehow they will then also be possible to invade South Korea? His theory makes no real sense
2 Chinese invasion of Taiwan, this one has been predicted for a long time and would not really surprise anyone, so probably the best prediction he could make. Now, the predictions he makes of what would happen afterwards is quite stupid but the original prediction seems fine.
3 Chinese civil war, he thinks china will spiral into warlords, an absolutely stupid prediction
4 Russia civil war, again with warlords. What is it with him and warlords? Russia will not collapse into warlords. Could there by a civil war? Unlikely but possible, however this would still result into a centralized governmeent, as it has done after every revolution/coup in the last centuries
5 Caucasian war, only makes sense if the 4th becomes real with Tukey recreating the Ottoman empire
6 Pakistan, apparently pakistan does not have the will to survive and India will take them over. This is idiotic, there have been skirmishes between Pakistan and India for decades, hwoever these will not escalate as the problem is that both countries have fucking nuclear weapons. If pakistan ever comes into a situation as this idiot is describing it will be goodnight mumbai
7 Afghan wars of expansion, stupid to think that they have the logistics to do this
8 US-Iran war, this is an issue, however he is an imbecile with his reasons, either for Biden before his re-election or jsut to kill young men to prevent the incel uprising.
9 new US civil war (absolute retard)
10 european troubles, apparently europe needs violence, they need war, coups and mobs in the street. and apparently europe is currently a coherent force? Idiot, Europe has never and will never be a coherent force
He is an imbecile and probably has yellow fever. It also shows exactly howw much of an American view he has of the world, as these are certainly not the most likely future wars, there are far more likley scenarios in other parts of Asia, Africa and latin America than at least half of his predictions here. Again he really is someone who thinks of himself as an intellectual who knows hsitory, knows international relations and politics but who has absolutely no idea about any of it.
